With only days left until its release, GTA 6 is set to become the most landmark entry yet in Rockstar's open-world crime action series. It is expected to be one of the fastest-selling and most globally impactful games in history, almost certainly setting and breaking multiple records on launch day and beyond.
So, who will take home the Game of the Year award? Does GTA 6 have what it takes to win major awards this year? On Polymarket's prediction market for The Game Awards, the vast majority of traders are betting on this title, giving it an 89% probability of winning at the highly anticipated ceremony.
GTA 6 has a strong chance of being nominated for and winning The Game Awards' Game of the Year, for one simple reason: it launches just days before the submission and nomination deadline. Although it will be weeks before everyone can play it, many consider its nomination all but guaranteed.
If I were a gambler, I'd bet on GTA 6 sweeping a huge number of awards, including categories for Game Design, Music, Narrative, Performance, Game Direction, and Action Game. GTA 6 is poised to receive nominations across a wide range of award categories.
Traders on Polymarket have already invested heavily in GTA 6. At the time of writing, the platform predicts an 89% probability that the game will win The Game Awards' Game of the Year. Following closely behind is Resident Evil 9: Requiem with a 7% chance, and Phantom Blade Zero with 3%.
Additionally, according to Polymarket users' predictions, GTA 6 has a 53% chance of winning Best Audio Design, a 55% chance of winning Best Narrative, and a 70% chance of winning Best Game Direction.
Other predictions show that 96% of users believe GTA 6 will break the single-day sales record for games, while 100% expect its Metacritic score to exceed 92.